Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:14:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2ef…1f0e
crypto · 1052 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1023 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1052 / 1052
History coverage10d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day236.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1052 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$51
14 days+$25
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $140 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $153 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $120 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 795 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 1052 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1052 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 0% -9.4%
all 1052 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover236.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records