Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:16:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2f1…2d22
crypto · 100 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$143,858 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58,385 · open +$87,592
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$152,874
Realized+$58,385
Unrealized+$87,592
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses311 / 225
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Est. fees paid−$975
Open positions24
Markets (closed)536 / 100
History coverage55d
Avg bet$9,403
Trades / day60.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 24 History 536 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42,531
7 days−$44,257
14 days−$40,690
30 days+$30,143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 17¢ $2,167 $22,035 +$19,868 (+917%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 16¢ $2,167 $20,865 +$18,698 (+863%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? No 94¢ 90¢ $19,350 $18,396 −$954 (-5%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 11¢ $2,167 $14,105 +$11,938 (+551%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 10¢ $2,167 $13,585 +$11,418 (+527%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 9¢ $2,167 $11,375 +$9,208 (+425%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 8¢ $2,167 $10,985 +$8,818 (+407%)
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 96¢ 100¢ $8,882 $9,258 +$377 (+4%)
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 96¢ 88¢ $8,183 $7,490 −$693 (-8%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 5¢ $2,167 $6,695 +$4,528 (+209%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $2,167 $5,642 +$3,475 (+160%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $5,223 $5,209 −$14 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 72¢ 91¢ $3,219 $4,078 +$859 (+27%)
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day? No 94¢ 100¢ $1,566 $1,657 +$91 (+6%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? No 81¢ 80¢ $646 $638 −$8 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 72¢ 69¢ $409 $391 −$18 (-4%)
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? No 95¢ 97¢ $190 $195 +$5 (+3%)
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $55 $49 −$7 (-12%)
Will Shea Langeliers have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? No 95¢ 97¢ $24 $24 +$1 (+2%)
Will Oneil Cruz lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? No 96¢ 97¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 90¢ 75¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? No 92¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 3? Yes 12¢ 100¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+713%)
Spread: Oilers (-1.5) Avalanche 73¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+37%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 before July 14? No 94¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 3? Jun 12 $0 −$18 -6500%
Spread: Oilers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$1 +37%
Will Ethereum dip to $2600 before July 14? Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August? Jun 12 $2 +$1,158 +55966%
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 August 11–17? Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 September 22-28? Jun 12 $2 −$33 -1768%
Will XRP reach $3.4 in July? Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July? Jun 12 $2 +$8 +477%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +117%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$1,641 +694939%
Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 October 13-19? Jun 12 $1 +$12 +878%
Will Bitcoin reach $119K September 8–14? Jun 12 $1 +$4 +303%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$529 +51113%
Will another player lead the NBA in Assists? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +47%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference? Jun 12 $0 +$9,169 +10562970%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $1 +$1,058 +100097%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East? Jun 12 $1 +$410 +62829%
Will Barcelona win La Liga? Jun 12 $0 +$1,933 +467180%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1500 and $1600 on Apr 25? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $1 −$201 -21761%
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship? Jun 12 $0 +$87 +47557%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$129 +12556%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$201 +24588%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? Jun 12 $0 +$85 +60586%
Will the San Diego Padres win the NL West Division? Jun 12 $1 +$69 +10027%
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 12 $0 +$1,285 +399526%
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October? Jun 12 $0 +$265 +57383%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$960 +180467%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) Jun 12 $1 +$100 +10157%
Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November? Jun 12 $1 +$49 +5870%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$2,725 +320620%
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$344 -88580%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$73 +7610%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$570 +61948%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$92 +9677%
Ethereum all time high in Q1 2024? Jun 12 $1 +$106 +12182%
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$805 +87110%
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$131 +14648%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March? Jun 12 $1 +$426 +45488%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28? Jun 12 $1 +$2,286 +386748%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseveranc Jun 12 $1 −$3 -491%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 12 $1 +$592 +66161%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 2? Jun 12 $0 +$19 +15055%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the NL East Division? Jun 12 $0 +$6 +1382%
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? Jun 12 $0 +$2,452 +6626043%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$2,189 +285749%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$80 +8867%
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. JD Gaming Jun 12 $1 +$129 +14736%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$23,348
other 19% +$96,024
sports 5% +$68,655
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 69¢ $184 35m
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? BUY No 90¢ $2,700 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 95¢ $27 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? BUY No 81¢ $646 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 72¢ $4 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 73¢ $4 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 95¢ $1,343 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 72¢ $613 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 73¢ $991 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 72¢ $145 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 73¢ $538 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY No 94¢ $6,587 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 68¢ $1,576 5h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? SELL No 58¢ $12 7h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? BUY No 61¢ $13 8h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 84¢ $328 15h
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? SELL No 93¢ $2,778 29h
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? BUY No 92¢ $2,748 29h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? SELL No 96¢ $6,489 29h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? SELL No 96¢ $2,581 29h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? SELL No 95¢ $26 31h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 79¢ $6 31h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL No 72¢ $4 41h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY No 62¢ $250 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 44¢ $91 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL No 43¢ $121 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY No 42¢ $210 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? BUY No 93¢ $1,389 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? SELL No 95¢ $4 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $76 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+736.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 458 +949.3% +849.4% 58% 54% -78.2%
≤30d 486 +904.6% +808.9% 58% 52% -32.4%
≤90d 536 +823.9% +736.0% 58% 49% -19.8%
all 536 +823.9% +736.0% 58% 49% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +736.0% 49% -19.8%
10% +656.0% 48% -27.5%
15% ← realistic here +582.9% 47% -34.5%
20% +516.0% 46% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $152,874.02 · official $152,825.16 (match) · 3500 history records