Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2fc…b1b4
sports · 159 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,981 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$206 · open −$1,775
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$848
Realized−$206
Unrealized−$1,775
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses68 / 89
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$418
Open positions2
Markets (closed)157 / 159
History coverage12d
Avg bet$401
Trades / day207.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,300
7 days+$1,067
14 days−$206
30 days−$206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 100¢ $588 $738 +$149 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 44¢ 54¢ $48 $57 +$10 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Up 41¢ 46¢ $45 $51 +$6 (+14%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $1,783 $2 −$1,781 (-100%)
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 57¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? Up 9¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 15¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Will Argentina vs. Honduras end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Down 35¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Up 24¢ 0¢ $301 $0 −$301 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Down 33¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 7? Down 39¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will Bhutan win on 2026-06-04? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 83¢ 0¢ $891 $0 −$891 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $649 +$33 +5%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $316 −$26 -8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,180 −$225 -19%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $276 +$61 +22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $164 +$48 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $176 −$168 -96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,816 +$80 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $22 −$21 -95%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $212 +$28 +13%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3,320 +$1,675 +50%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,621 −$985 -61%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $570 −$349 -61%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $337 −$10 -3%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,357 +$478 +20%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $300 +$1 +0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $795 +$157 +20%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,477 +$89 +6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $351 +$3 +1%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $42 −$41 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $628 +$96 +15%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $673 +$217 +32%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $68 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $619 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $690 −$69 -10%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $448 −$79 -18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $940 +$470 +50%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $4,116 +$45 +1%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $228 −$215 -94%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $27 −$12 -45%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $50 +$2 +4%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $446 −$19 -4%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $37 −$36 -97%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $990 +$49 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $311 −$226 -73%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $207 −$7 -4%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $300 +$12 +4%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $294 +$6 +2%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $382 +$233 +61%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $172 +$60 +35%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $291 +$129 +44%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $138 −$16 -11%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 10 $261 −$32 -12%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $357 −$5 -1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $94 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $458 +$43 +10%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $94 +$6 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% −$473
other 20% −$182
crypto 14% −$1,326
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 49¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 40¢ $41 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 99¢ $54 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 99¢ $58 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 6¢ $7 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 5¢ $4 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $6 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $54 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $182 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 90¢ $9 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 89¢ $6 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 61¢ $94 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 61¢ $8 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 59¢ $119 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 59¢ $119 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 58¢ $29 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 57¢ $23 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 56¢ $91 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 56¢ $36 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 56¢ $27 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 55¢ $76 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $34 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $17 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 +36.9% +23.9% 49% 31% -6.8%
≤30d 157 +27.4% +15.2% 43% 29% -9.3%
≤90d 157 +27.4% +15.2% 43% 29% -9.3%
all 157 +27.4% +15.2% 43% 29% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover207.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.2% 29% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here +4.2% 23% -18.0%
15% -5.9% 18% -25.9%
20% -15.1% 14% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $848.25 · official $848.25 (match) · 2732 history records