Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:39:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A2 0xa2ff…e957 crypto 1691 markets active 0h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (119 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$91 (-4%) realized −$91 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate77%1304W / 386L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day118.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$2
14 days−$19
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (119 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 811 +1.0% -8.6% 85% 29% -9.4%
≤30d 1690 -1.8% -11.2% 77% 23% -11.4%
≤90d 1690 -1.8% -11.2% 77% 23% -11.4%
all 1690 -1.8% -11.2% 77% 23% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 23% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 11% -19.8%
15% -27.4% 5% -27.6%
20% -34.6% 3% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1304 / 386
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1690 / 1691
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day118.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1690 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -76%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records