Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:28:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa300…24c7
sports · 407 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$214 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$220 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized−$220
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses216 / 177
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions14
Markets (closed)393 / 407
History coverage16d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day203.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 14 History 393 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$8
14 days−$204
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 76¢ 93¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+22%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 85¢ 88¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? No 60¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No 65¢ 84¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 63¢ 70¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? No 66¢ 82¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 78¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $715 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $178 −$1 -1%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $54 +$2 +4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $26 −$2 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +103%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $18 +$12 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$62
crypto 6% −$67
other 6% −$1
politics 4% −$76
finance 4% +$18
weather 2% −$26
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 4m
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele SELL Yes 87¢ $34 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 3h
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 3h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 5h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $4 7h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? SELL No 78¢ $0 9h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? SELL No 77¢ $2 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 52¢ $1 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 50¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $3 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $2 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 48¢ $0 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -8.7% -17.4% 70% 53% -10.6%
≤30d 393 -9.3% -17.9% 55% 45% -15.0%
≤90d 393 -9.3% -17.9% 55% 45% -15.0%
all 393 -9.3% -17.9% 55% 45% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover203.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 45% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 33% -23.1%
15% -32.9% 21% -30.5%
20% -39.5% 13% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.71 · official $89.33 (match) · 3500 history records