trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 50% | 0% | -6.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 57% | 43% | -4.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +11.7% | +1.0% | 67% | 38% | -2.1% |
| all | 29 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 62% | 34% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 34% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 14% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 14% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 3% | -35.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 24 | $13 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 16 | $56 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | Jun 08 | $27 | +$4 | +15% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 08 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 01 | $21 | +$4 | +17% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | Jun 01 | $13 | +$3 | +21% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of | May 22 | $16 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026? | May 15 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | May 15 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 15 | $18 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | May 03 | $26 | +$4 | +13% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 03 | $28 | +$2 | +8% |
| Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Apr 06 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Apr 02 | $4 | +$2 | +49% |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Apr 02 | $25 | +$2 | +7% |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Apr 02 | $20 | +$8 | +43% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Mar 29 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Mar 29 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Mar 25 | $19 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 20 | $81 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16? | Feb 15 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? | Feb 15 | $25 | −$16 | -64% |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | Feb 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Feb 11 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Feb 11 | $0 | $0 | +44% |