trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 58¢ | 58¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 17¢ | 1¢ | $11 | $1 | −$10 (-94%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $20 | +$8 | +40% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 50% | 25% | -33.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 50% | 25% | -33.2% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 50% | 25% | -33.2% |
| all | 4 | -39.0% | -44.8% | 50% | 25% | -33.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.8% | 25% | -33.2% |
| 10% | -50.1% | 25% | -39.6% |
| 15% | -54.9% | 25% | -45.4% |
| 20% | -59.4% | 0% | -50.8% |