trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 21% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 21% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 32% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 09 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 09 | $41 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $13 | $0 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 08 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 05 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 04 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 04 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 21 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Steve Mnuchin buy TikTok? | Jun 28 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Liberal Party win by 100–124 seats? | Apr 25 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 25 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 06 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by March? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | -1% |