Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa338…2aca
sports · 160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$67
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses74 / 82
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions4
Markets (closed)156 / 160
History coverage122d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$31
14 days+$0
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 57¢ 48¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-17%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 10¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-66%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 20¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A Donstu Esports 11¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 29? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27? Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B 3DMAX 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 53¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs Natus Vincere 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A M80 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A TYLOO 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Kira Pavlova Kira Pavlova 29¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A BC.Game Esports 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage PARIVISION 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs Team Falcons 39¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 47¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 +$12 +29%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $20 −$10 -50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $39 +$22 +56%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 +$5 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $28 +$24 +86%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $92 +$3 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $12 −$9 -79%
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $31 −$6 -21%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $26 +$4 +15%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $24 −$11 -46%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $7 +$7 +96%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $26 +$27 +102%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$7 +36%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $10 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $31 −$31 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $31 −$14 -45%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $29 +$34 +115%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $18 −$18 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$8 +82%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $13 −$13 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $15 −$1 -6%
Rainbow Six Siege: TYLOO vs Kingzone (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group S Jun 07 $14 +$15 +104%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $6 −$6 -99%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $17 −$4 -26%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $13 −$13 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 +$18 +119%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$15 +146%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $16 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $33 −$3 -10%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $29 +$11 +38%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$5 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $10 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $25 −$15 -60%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 +$12 +78%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $12 +$10 +81%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Vanuatu win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $6 +$7 +107%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $39 +$12 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$80
other 8% +$21
world 3% −$2
crypto 3% +$10
politics 2% −$21
finance 0% +$1
tech 0% −$1
weather 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $10 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $22 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 45¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 55¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $17 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $17 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 36¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $13 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 92¢ $14 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $10 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $21 10h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $20 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $21 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 93¢ $20 12h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 81¢ $40 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $10 14h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $19 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $9 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $8 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $18 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 87¢ $16 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL FUT Esports 14¢ $6 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 22¢ $9 26h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $10 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $12 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 10¢ $3 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -1.8% -11.2% 47% 45% -6.5%
≤30d 91 -8.5% -17.3% 48% 45% -11.9%
≤90d 128 -18.0% -25.8% 45% 41% -14.7%
all 156 -9.0% -17.7% 47% 44% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.7% 44% -13.1%
10% -25.5% 38% -21.4%
15% -32.7% 30% -29.0%
20% -39.3% 22% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.38 · official $59.38 (match) · 361 history records