Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:34:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa34d…b57f
sports · 500 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$158 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$167 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$135
Realized−$167
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses405 / 458
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions44
Markets (closed)863 / 500
History coverage12d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day297.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 44 History 863 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$335
7 days−$237
14 days−$167
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 12? Yes 69¢ 82¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? Yes 56¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO? No 68¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+47%)
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? No 37¢ 64¢ $3 $4 +$2 (+75%)
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? No 70¢ 49¢ $5 $4 −$2 (-30%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+21%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 in June? No 76¢ 83¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 12? No 61¢ 99¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+63%)
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? No 63¢ 66¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14? No 73¢ 67¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01? Yes 41¢ 86¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+111%)
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June? No 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 64¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+34%)
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Up 60¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on May 31? Yes 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+180%)
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-05-24? No 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 15? No 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 9? No 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? Yes 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Over 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 6? No 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+88%)
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: Both Teams to Score No 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
NAC Breda vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5 Over 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 23? No 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on May Jun 12 $0 +$1 +274%
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +109%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 15? Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +166%
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
NAC Breda vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -55%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 23? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 25? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +77%
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +444%
Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -52%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $1 $0 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 +95%
Burgos CF vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 +$1 +567%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 +15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +154%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +137%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 15? Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 25 above $305? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +227%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +49%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +545%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-29? Jun 12 $1 $0 +55%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +402%
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +186%
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +947%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of May 18 Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +174%
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +251%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 +$4 +740%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 27? Jun 12 $1 $0 +80%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +406%
Will Ralph Alvarado be the Republican Nominee for KY-06? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +134%
Will Marcos Llorente be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup sq Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 15? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +446%
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +208%
LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular Season Jun 12 $1 +$4 +728%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +218%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 12 $0 +$2 +488%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 13? Jun 12 $0 $0 -84%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2 Jun 12 $1 −$2 -361%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 25? Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Will AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -850%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins t Jun 12 $0 $0 +129%
Will Team Falcons win DreamLeague Season 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 -20%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -131%
Will XRP dip to $1.40 on May 11? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +399%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 45% +$40
sports 31% +$116
other 10% +$35
world 5% +$9
politics 3% −$3
finance 2% +$1
tech 2% −$10
culture 1% +$3
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL No 76¢ $6 0m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 77¢ $6 10m
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 70¢ $5 17m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL No 77¢ $7 20m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 68¢ $6 22m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL No 57¢ $1 24m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL No 67¢ $3 24m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 67¢ $6 24m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 54¢ $3 47m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL No 41¢ $1 47m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL No 41¢ $2 47m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 57¢ $1 48m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 57¢ $1 49m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 56¢ $1 50m
Partizan vs. BC Dubai SELL Partizan 46¢ $4 53m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL No 53¢ $3 54m
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 44¢ $1 54m
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 44¢ $1 54m
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 44¢ $0 54m
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 44¢ $1 54m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 48¢ $3 58m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 56¢ $5 58m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL No 60¢ $5 58m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners SELL Under 41¢ $4 59m
Partizan vs. BC Dubai SELL Partizan 64¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 56¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 47¢ $4 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 35¢ $2 1h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY Partizan 55¢ $3 1h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai SELL Partizan 60¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 690 +34.4% +21.6% 43% 30% -12.6%
≤30d 863 +31.6% +19.0% 47% 31% -10.4%
≤90d 863 +31.6% +19.0% 47% 31% -10.4%
all 863 +31.6% +19.0% 47% 31% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover297.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.0% 31% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here +7.6% 22% -19.0%
15% -2.8% 19% -26.8%
20% -12.3% 17% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $134.73 · official $55.72 · 3500 history records