Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:38:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A3 0xa35b…2bd4 crypto 60 markets active 6h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (187 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$1,386 (+99%) realized +$1,386 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +91% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +47% what you keep after slip
Net edge+47%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate55%33W / 27L
Drawdown9%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day187.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,380
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (187 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+73.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +91.4% +73.2% 55% 55% +80.2%
≤30d 60 +91.4% +73.2% 55% 55% +80.2%
≤90d 60 +91.4% +73.2% 55% 55% +80.2%
all 60 +91.4% +73.2% 55% 55% +80.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover187.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +73.2% 55% +80.2%
10% ← realistic here +56.6% 55% +62.9%
15% +41.5% 55% +47.2%
20% +27.6% 55% +32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +99% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +91% · $-wt +99% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +73% → late +110% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$58 vs −$20 · ×2.96 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×3.62 per $1 lost it wins $3.62
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,386
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses33 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day187.3
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 +$14 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$68 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$68 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$57 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$35 +654%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$67 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$87 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$67 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$13 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$77 +329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$80 +405%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $37 +$63 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $32 +$108 +340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$30 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$73 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$40 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$20 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$13 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$55 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$130 +442%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $43 +$187 +437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $126 −$125 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$26 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$28 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$25 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$50 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$21 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$74 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$47 +364%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$105 +727%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 450 history records