Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa364…d4b3
crypto · 469 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$770 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$770 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$770
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses238 / 231
Open positions0
Markets (closed)469 / 469
History coverage11d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day275.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$177
7 days−$719
14 days−$770
30 days−$770
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+236%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+145%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+376%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+202%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+135%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$14 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$19 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$7 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$8 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$7 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$14 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$9 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$6 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$8 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $72 +$34 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $56 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$770
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+33.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 382 +60.2% +44.9% 50% 40% -22.0%
≤30d 469 +47.4% +33.3% 51% 41% -20.0%
≤90d 469 +47.4% +33.3% 51% 41% -20.0%
all 469 +47.4% +33.3% 51% 41% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +33.3% 41% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here +20.6% 31% -27.6%
15% +8.9% 22% -34.6%
20% -1.8% 16% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.77 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records