Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:48:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A3 0xa37c…80c7 crypto 616 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (91 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$139 (-2%) realized −$139 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate57%348W / 267L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day90.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$89
14 days−$157
30 days−$299
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% −$170
tech 5% −$32
politics 5% −$7
other 4% −$84
finance 2% −$2
world 1% −$2
culture 1% −$3
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (91 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 -4.0% -13.2% 48% 33% -14.2%
≤30d 615 -3.8% -13.0% 57% 21% -13.9%
≤90d 615 -3.8% -13.0% 57% 21% -13.9%
all 615 -3.8% -13.0% 57% 21% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 21% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 11% -22.1%
15% -28.9% 6% -29.7%
20% -35.9% 4% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.5 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$139
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses348 / 267
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)615 / 616
History coverage28d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day90.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 615 Trades
no open positions (30 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$7 -71%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$28 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$11 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $106 −$15 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $74 −$19 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $44 +$22 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $136 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $54 −$14 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $109 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$8 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$8 +192%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$5 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$4 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$4 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$8 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +135%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$5 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -87%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$9 +210%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2820 history records