Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:56:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa387…3aad
weather · 213 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$396 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$396 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$396
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses162 / 51
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)213 / 213
History coverage158d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$2
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Rockets vs. Lakers Lakers 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $31 +$9 +30%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $32 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $29 +$3 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $27 +$2 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $25 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6? Jun 06 $38 −$13 -34%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? Jun 06 $36 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? Jun 04 $34 +$2 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? Jun 04 $43 −$10 -22%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12? May 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12? May 12 $32 −$3 -11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11? May 12 $27 +$3 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10? May 11 $26 +$3 +13%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9? May 10 $24 +$2 +10%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8? May 09 $21 +$2 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7? May 08 $40 −$1 -3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6? May 07 $21 +$2 +9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6? May 06 $28 −$7 -24%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6? May 06 $28 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5? May 06 $26 +$2 +9%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4? May 05 $17 +$9 +51%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4? May 04 $42 −$25 -60%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 4? May 04 $30 +$9 +30%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3? May 04 $30 +$3 +12%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2? May 03 $794 +$48 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 1? May 01 $79 +$5 +6%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 30 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 29? Apr 30 $81 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29? Apr 29 $74 +$6 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30? Apr 29 $82 −$7 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28? Apr 28 $75 +$7 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 27? Apr 27 $71 +$4 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 27? Apr 27 $115 −$42 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26? Apr 26 $100 +$15 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25? Apr 26 $222 +$10 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 24? Apr 24 $121 +$3 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 24? Apr 23 $112 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on April 22? Apr 22 $108 +$4 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 22? Apr 21 $78 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 20? Apr 20 $85 +$19 +22%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 18? Apr 18 $81 +$6 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 16? Apr 17 $77 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 15? Apr 15 $75 +$4 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 14? Apr 14 $70 +$6 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 12? Apr 12 $68 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 11? Apr 11 $54 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10? Apr 11 $56 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9? Apr 09 $100 −$34 -34%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 7? Apr 07 $732 +$52 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 6? Apr 06 $107 +$16 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 72% +$410
crypto 27% −$19
other 1% +$9
sports 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 94¢ $40 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $31 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? SELL No 82¢ $32 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? BUY No 82¢ $32 10h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $32 10h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $14 22h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $15 24h
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? BUY No 93¢ $13 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? BUY No 93¢ $14 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $27 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? BUY No 94¢ $25 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6? SELL No 55¢ $5 6d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6? SELL No 57¢ $20 6d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6? BUY No 84¢ $6 6d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 6? BUY No 84¢ $32 6d
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? BUY No 93¢ $14 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? BUY No 93¢ $21 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? SELL No 100¢ $36 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? BUY No 95¢ $8 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? BUY No 95¢ $8 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 4? BUY No 95¢ $18 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? SELL No 55¢ $34 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? BUY No 69¢ $0 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? BUY No 69¢ $21 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? BUY No 69¢ $18 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? BUY No 69¢ $4 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12? BUY Yes 70¢ $29 31d
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12? SELL No 71¢ $29 31d
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12? BUY No 78¢ $22 31d
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12? BUY No 78¢ $6 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +3.0% -6.8% 67% 33% -8.4%
≤30d 9 +0.8% -8.8% 67% 22% -10.5%
≤90d 74 -10.4% -19.0% 70% 19% -9.1%
all 213 -0.4% -9.9% 76% 20% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 20% -7.5%
10% -18.5% 9% -16.4%
15% -26.4% 4% -24.4%
20% -33.6% 2% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 684 history records