Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:58:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa388…ba6e
sports · 44 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$88 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$81 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$81
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses23 / 19
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions2
Markets (closed)42 / 44
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day43.1
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$81
14 days+$81
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 57¢ 74¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+30%)
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner F5 Esports 47¢ 64¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+36%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$11 +109%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $10 −$3 -34%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$14 +139%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$3 -60%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$8 +84%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +67%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +69%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +102%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $15 +$17 +114%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$6 +118%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $15 +$11 +73%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $63 −$17 -26%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$12 +82%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $15 +$10 +66%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $15 +$21 +139%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $20 +$20 +100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $8 +$6 +79%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $19 +$11 +58%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$6 +73%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 +$3 +64%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$75
other 4% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner SELL F5 Esports 41¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 47¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 48¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 68¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 50¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 54¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 53¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 54¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 54¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 57¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 55¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Wanted Goons 55¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 44¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 49¢ $5 1h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner BUY GG Boom 17¢ $5 3h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner BUY GG Boom 17¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL F5 Esports 35¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL F5 Esports 34¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL F5 Esports 34¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 28¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 27¢ $5 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $8 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +11.2% +0.6% 55% 55% +7.6%
≤30d 42 +11.2% +0.6% 55% 55% +7.6%
≤90d 42 +11.2% +0.6% 55% 55% +7.6%
all 42 +11.2% +0.6% 55% 55% +7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.6% 55% +7.6%
10% ← realistic here -9.0% 55% -2.7%
15% -17.8% 55% -12.1%
20% -25.9% 55% -20.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.07 · official $25.07 (match) · 167 history records