Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa398…6c83
sports · 31 markets active 9h ago
9.0score
+$71,614 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71,767 · open −$153
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist
✓ In copytrade ★ In watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$533
Realized+$71,767
Unrealized−$153
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses19 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$3,142
Open positions1
Markets (closed)30 / 31
History coverage12d
Avg bet$7,474
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,841
7 days+$47,519
14 days+$71,767
30 days+$71,767
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 20¢ 16¢ $686 $533 −$153 (-22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5,961 +$5,615 +94%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5,728 +$548 +10%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $12,074 −$12,074 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $11,569 +$8,032 +69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $6,886 +$4,801 +70%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $17,764 −$17,764 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $1,107 −$1,107 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $5,616 +$14,923 +266%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $7,566 +$9,218 +122%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $15,359 +$11,578 +75%
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 09 $3,155 −$3,155 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $14,776 +$15,386 +104%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 09 $4,344 −$4,344 -100%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $699 −$699 -100%
Spread: Colombia (-2.5) Jun 08 $2,292 −$2,292 -100%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 08 $9,551 +$4,742 +50%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $10,930 +$10,459 +96%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $2,216 +$5,736 +259%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 07 $3,811 +$4,861 +128%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $9,438 +$2,725 +29%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $12,336 +$9,690 +79%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 06 $4,573 −$4,573 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 06 $14,789 −$14,789 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $1,812 −$1,812 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 05 $5,374 +$6,357 +118%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 05 $23,312 +$15,968 +68%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $3,771 +$4,075 +108%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 03 $4,543 +$3,621 +80%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 Jun 03 $4,611 +$339 +7%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian May 31 $5,024 −$4,299 -86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$75,913
politics 2% −$4,299
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 20¢ $706 8h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $11,576 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $6,275 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $5,728 15h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $5,961 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $11,687 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $6,886 21h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 58¢ $11,569 33h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 46¢ $12,074 33h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 50¢ $17,764 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 100¢ $20,539 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1,107 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 27¢ $3,715 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 26¢ $1,901 3d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 44¢ $7,566 3d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 56¢ $15,359 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 48¢ $14,776 3d
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $1,221 4d
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $2,913 4d
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 15¢ $1,431 4d
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $365 4d
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $1,569 4d
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) SELL Colombia 100¢ $14,293 4d
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 45¢ $699 4d
Spread: Colombia (-2.5) BUY Colombia 44¢ $2,292 4d
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) BUY Colombia 65¢ $9,551 4d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights SELL Golden Knights 100¢ $21,389 5d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 100¢ $7,952 5d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 50¢ $10,930 5d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 76¢ $3,022 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +23.9% +12.1% 61% 57% +14.0%
≤30d 30 +24.8% +13.0% 63% 57% +18.6%
≤90d 30 +24.8% +13.0% 63% 57% +18.6%
all 30 +24.8% +13.0% 63% 57% +18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +13.0% 57% +18.6%
10% ← realistic here +2.1% 57% +7.2%
15% -7.7% 53% -3.1%
20% -16.8% 50% -12.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $533.04 · official $533.04 (match) · 76 history records