trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 75% | 25% | +7.5% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 75% | 38% | -0.2% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +21.6% | +10.0% | 78% | 39% | +0.7% |
| all | 18 | +21.6% | +10.0% | 78% | 39% | +0.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +10.0% | 39% | +0.7% |
| 10% | -0.5% | 28% | -8.9% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -10.1% | 22% | -17.7% |
| 20% | -18.9% | 17% | -25.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $26,328 | $22,198 | −$4,129 (-16%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $16,256 | $15,125 | −$1,131 (-7%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $14,293 | $12,015 | −$2,278 (-16%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $9,610 | $9,685 | +$75 (+1%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $2,450 | $2,925 | +$475 (+19%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $2,200 | $1,450 | −$750 (-34%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $2,169 | $1,216 | −$953 (-44%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,720 | $750 | −$970 (-56%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $900 | $350 | −$550 (-61%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $38 | $37 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $18,330 | +$334 | +2% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $1,836 | −$1,436 | -78% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $8,895 | +$325 | +4% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $18,572 | +$9,742 | +52% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $712 | +$88 | +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $6,760 | +$22 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $44,289 | +$1,875 | +4% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $9,963 | +$927 | +9% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $522 | −$522 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $716 | +$284 | +40% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $746 | +$254 | +34% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $1,015 | +$985 | +97% |
| World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway | May 30 | $893 | +$107 | +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $9,750 | +$230 | +2% |
| World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia | May 28 | $256 | −$256 | -100% |
| World Championships: Canada vs. USA | May 28 | $215 | −$215 | -100% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 24 | $9,315 | +$685 | +7% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 23 | $330 | +$1,620 | +491% |