Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:16:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa39d…23fc
crypto · 484 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$381 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$381 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$381
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses296 / 188
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)484 / 484
History coverage150d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 484 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$94
7 days−$74
14 days−$74
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$12 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$22 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $44 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 26 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 26 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 26 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 26 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 25 $45 −$43 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 25 $37 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 25 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 25 $34 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 25 $9 +$25 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 25 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -95%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $26 −$23 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 24 $26 +$38 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 24 $16 −$15 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET May 24 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 24 $11 +$8 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 24 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 24 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 24 $21 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 24 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 24 $14 +$20 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET May 24 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET May 24 $11 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET May 22 $9 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 22 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 22 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 22 $24 +$16 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 22 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET May 22 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 22 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 22 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 22 $9 +$14 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 22 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 22 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET May 22 $4 −$3 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 22 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$350
sports 0% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $46 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $31 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $44 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $44 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $44 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $39 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $29 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $17 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $16 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $45 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $45 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $37 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $35 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $9 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +6.5% -3.6% 67% 42% -28.5%
≤30d 80 -7.3% -16.1% 48% 32% -18.7%
≤90d 214 -12.1% -20.5% 45% 31% -14.6%
all 484 -8.3% -17.1% 61% 30% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 30% -12.0%
10% -25.0% 22% -20.4%
15% -32.2% 16% -28.1%
20% -38.9% 11% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1051 history records