trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +108.7% | +88.8% | 33% | 17% | -10.3% |
| all | 28 | +41.8% | +28.3% | 36% | 7% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +28.3% | 7% | -10.4% |
| 10% | +16.0% | 7% | -18.9% |
| 15% | +4.8% | 7% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -5.5% | 7% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 26 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 27 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $88 | +$1 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $14 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 25 | $32 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $14 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $33 | −$2 | -7% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 23 | $14 | −$2 | -12% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 21 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Jun 12 | $19 | −$4 | -22% |
| Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 09 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 09 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Jun 09 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 06 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | Jun 06 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 06 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Pr | Jun 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 03 | $28 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%? | Jun 02 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Canada raise tariffs on the U.S. before June? | May 31 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 31 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| French Open: Sinner vs. Gasquet | May 29 | $27 | $0 | -0% |