Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:55:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A3 0xa3a0…85d8 crypto 795 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$6 (+0%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate90%719W / 76L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day38.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$5
14 days+$10
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$3
other 2% −$3
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 +0.7% -8.9% 96% 8% -8.7%
≤30d 795 -1.5% -10.9% 90% 16% -9.5%
≤90d 795 -1.5% -10.9% 90% 16% -9.5%
all 795 -1.5% -10.9% 90% 16% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 16% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 7% -18.2%
15% -27.2% 4% -26.1%
20% -34.4% 2% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses719 / 76
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)795 / 795
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day38.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 795 Trades
no open positions (66 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1557 history records