Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:17:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa3a1…6d6f
crypto · 870 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$133 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$166 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$166
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses420 / 450
Open positions0
Markets (closed)870 / 870
History coverage11d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day173.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 870 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$119
14 days−$166
30 days−$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$166
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 618 -19.7% -27.4% 59% 48% -13.0%
≤30d 870 -21.9% -29.3% 48% 39% -13.5%
≤90d 870 -21.9% -29.3% 48% 39% -13.5%
all 870 -21.9% -29.3% 48% 39% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.3% 39% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -36.1% 17% -21.8%
15% -42.3% 4% -29.3%
20% -47.9% 2% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2812 history records