Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa3b4…88df
sports · 49 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$108
Realized−$43
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses13 / 15
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions21
Markets (closed)28 / 49
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day111.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 21 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+64%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 60¢ 100¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+67%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 91¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 56¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+78%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Nemiga Gaming 56¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+78%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Lotte Giants 47¢ 100¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+113%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Level UP 55¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+82%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 65¢ 100¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+54%)
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola Zantedeschi 55¢ 74¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+34%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 54¢ 62¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+14%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 73¢ 49¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-33%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 12¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Leviatán Esports 37¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-91%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 26¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 44¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 50¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Pandawa Lima 24¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 85¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz NC Dinos 52¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $14 −$2 -12%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $7 +$4 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $43 +$13 +30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 −$6 -18%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$5 -32%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$4 +23%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $41 +$2 +5%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$3 -12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$4 -11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $65 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $61 −$5 -9%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$9 +365%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $12 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 +$6 +21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $121 −$49 -40%
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $9 +$3 +32%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $47 +$1 +3%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$53
tech 5% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola BUY Zantedeschi 55¢ $6 24m
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY ex-MANA eSports 26¢ $3 26m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 37¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $15 32m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $2 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $5 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $2 33m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 41¢ $7 35m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 41¢ $2 35m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $8 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 91¢ $21 43m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $13 51m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 60¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 85¢ $9 1h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 56¢ $6 1h
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner BUY Level UP 55¢ $6 1h
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 61¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 70¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 35¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 50¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 60¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 40¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 68¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 70¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 30¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +4.0% -5.9% 46% 36% -15.3%
≤30d 28 +4.0% -5.9% 46% 36% -15.3%
≤90d 28 +4.0% -5.9% 46% 36% -15.3%
all 28 +4.0% -5.9% 46% 36% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 36% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 32% -23.4%
15% -23.1% 14% -30.8%
20% -30.7% 14% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.06 · official $109.10 (match) · 179 history records