Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T06:41:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A3 0xa3d6…e433 crypto 964 markets active 2h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d only
✗ bot/MM pace (137 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,099 (+5%) realized +$1,099 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR71%break-even
Win rate78%755W / 209L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day137.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$245
14 days−$1,697
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (137 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 333 -8.2% -17.0% 74% 54% -12.8%
≤30d 964 -0.5% -9.9% 78% 71% -9.6%
≤90d 964 -0.5% -9.9% 78% 71% -9.6%
all 964 -0.5% -9.9% 78% 71% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover137.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 71% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 16% -18.2%
15% -26.4% 7% -26.1%
20% -33.6% 5% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$21 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,099
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses755 / 209
Open positions0
Markets (closed)964 / 964
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day137.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 964 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 21 $26 +$14 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 21 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 20 $63 +$11 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $13 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 20 $24 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$9 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $94 +$55 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $87 +$25 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 20 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 20 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 20 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 20 $91 −$91 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $23 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$3 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $22 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $22 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $77 +$17 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $32 +$7 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $83 +$16 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $44 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $42 +$8 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $18 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $22 +$2 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $40 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $64 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $63 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $13 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $148 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $94 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records