Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa3df…6ba0
sports · 6 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% +$1
other 51% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan SELL Pakistan 14¢ $2 12m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 9¢ $1 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 90¢ $4 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 77¢ $4 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 15h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 15h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 15h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 29¢ $1 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $2 15h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -4.8% -13.8% 50% 50% -11.3%
≤30d 6 -4.8% -13.8% 50% 50% -11.3%
≤90d 6 -4.8% -13.8% 50% 50% -11.3%
all 6 -4.8% -13.8% 50% 50% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 50% -11.3%
10% -22.1% 33% -19.8%
15% -29.6% 33% -27.6%
20% -36.5% 17% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records