trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 56¢ | 54¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | Frances Tiafoe | 88¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Los Angeles Dodgers | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | St. Louis Cardinals | 9¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics | Toronto Tempo | 56¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Atlanta Braves | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 61¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 13 | $51 | −$14 | -26% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Jun 13 | $6 | −$5 | -81% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $15 | −$3 | -20% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +119% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 13 | $7 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 13 | $3 | −$1 | -33% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -63.1% | -66.6% | 12% | 12% | -44.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -67.2% | -70.3% | 11% | 11% | -44.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -67.2% | -70.3% | 11% | 11% | -44.9% |
| all | 9 | -67.2% | -70.3% | 11% | 11% | -44.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -70.3% | 11% | -44.9% |
| 10% | -73.2% | 11% | -50.2% |
| 15% | -75.7% | 11% | -55.0% |
| 20% | -78.1% | 11% | -59.4% |