trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -35.4% | -41.5% | 33% | 33% | -60.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 45% | 36% | -32.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 45% | 36% | -32.3% |
| all | 11 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 45% | 36% | -32.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 36% | -32.3% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 27% | -38.8% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 18% | -44.7% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 18% | -50.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$4 | -39% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $32 | +$11 | +33% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | Jun 18 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $32 | +$7 | +21% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 15 | $25 | −$21 | -83% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 15 | $16 | +$28 | +175% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$7 | -67% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 14 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $10 | −$5 | -49% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$4 | +74% |