Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa442…9e7e
crypto · 16 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$4 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses10 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)15 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day42.0
Drawdown85%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 54¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +81%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $6 +$3 +46%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1 +$2 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$2
sports 20% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 54¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $9 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 95¢ $3 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 36¢ $1 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $5 22h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +12.7% +1.9% 67% 53% -3.5%
≤30d 15 +12.7% +1.9% 67% 53% -3.5%
≤90d 15 +12.7% +1.9% 67% 53% -3.5%
all 15 +12.7% +1.9% 67% 53% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.9% 53% -3.5%
10% ← realistic here -7.8% 40% -12.7%
15% -16.7% 27% -21.1%
20% -24.9% 13% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.77 · official $0.77 (match) · 46 history records