trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | Australia | 5¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $93 | +$88 (+1890%) |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Australia | 78¢ | 100¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 (+28%) |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | Türkiye | 96¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-99%) |
| Spread: Australia (-2.5) | Australia | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$1 (-95%) |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Türkiye | 23¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $47 | −$35 | -75% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $52 | −$13 | -25% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $41 | +$43 | +105% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $48 | −$35 | -73% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $37 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Jun 02 | $3 | +$4 | +105% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | May 12 | $3 | +$3 | +93% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 11 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 11 | $4 | +$3 | +90% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | May 10 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 10 | $3 | +$3 | +86% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 09 | $3 | +$3 | +83% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 09 | $4 | +$4 | +119% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 07 | $3 | +$4 | +101% |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | May 06 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 06 | $3 | +$3 | +97% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 05 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 05 | $3 | +$3 | +93% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | May 04 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | May 04 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | May 03 | $3 | +$3 | +97% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | May 02 | $4 | +$3 | +90% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 02 | $7 | +$9 | +114% |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | May 02 | $6 | +$6 | +97% |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) | May 01 | $4 | +$4 | +109% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | May 01 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | May 01 | $3 | +$3 | +93% |
| Spread: Lakers (-4.5) | Apr 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Apr 30 | $4 | +$3 | +83% |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | Apr 30 | $3 | +$5 | +140% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | Apr 28 | $4 | +$3 | +93% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Apr 28 | $4 | +$3 | +97% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 28 | $3 | +$3 | +97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Apr 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | Apr 27 | $3 | +$3 | +76% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | Apr 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Apr 27 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) | Apr 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) | Apr 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5) | Apr 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Apr 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) | Apr 24 | $3 | +$3 | +90% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Apr 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) | Apr 24 | $3 | +$4 | +105% |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) | Apr 23 | $4 | +$3 | +86% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | Apr 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY Türkiye | 23¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | BUY Australia | 5¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY Australia | 78¢ | $4 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | BUY Australia | 5¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | BUY Australia | 5¢ | $2 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | BUY Türkiye | 96¢ | $5 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | BUY Türkiye | 96¢ | $5 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | BUY Türkiye | 96¢ | $5 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-2.5) | BUY Australia | 1¢ | $0 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-2.5) | BUY Australia | 1¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | BUY Türkiye | 96¢ | $5 | 1h |
| Spread: Australia (-2.5) | BUY Australia | 1¢ | $0 | 1h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 96¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 96¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 96¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 96¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 95¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 95¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Haiti | 5¢ | $2 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 95¢ | $6 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 95¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Haiti (-1.5) | BUY Scotland | 95¢ | $5 | 5h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Brazil | 32¢ | $6 | 8h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Brazil | 32¢ | $3 | 8h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Brazil | 32¢ | $5 | 8h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Morocco | 69¢ | $5 | 8h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Brazil | 32¢ | $6 | 8h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Morocco | 69¢ | $3 | 8h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Brazil | 32¢ | $6 | 8h |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | BUY Brazil | 32¢ | $5 | 8h |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 57% | 29% | -21.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +7.5% | -2.7% | 62% | 38% | -20.5% |
| ≤90d | 293 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 51% | 51% | -12.9% |
| all | 515 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 50% | 50% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 50% | -12.6% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 49% | -21.0% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 49% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 49% | -35.6% |