Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa459…264e
crypto · 94 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses66 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 0 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$29
other 28% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 8m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -5.4% -14.4% 71% 71% -15.4%
≤30d 94 -6.4% -15.3% 70% 70% -16.3%
≤90d 94 -6.4% -15.3% 70% 70% -16.3%
all 94 -6.4% -15.3% 70% 70% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 70% -16.3%
10% -23.4% 41% -24.3%
15% -30.8% 18% -31.6%
20% -37.6% 12% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 192 history records