Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T09:06:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A4 0xa46e…2935 crypto 92 markets active 6h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (131 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$1,775 (+99%) realized +$1,775 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +106% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +59% what you keep after slip
Net edge+59%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate49%45W / 47L
Drawdown7%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day131.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,768
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (131 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+86.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 +106.3% +86.7% 49% 49% +79.5%
≤30d 92 +106.3% +86.7% 49% 49% +79.5%
≤90d 92 +106.3% +86.7% 49% 49% +79.5%
all 92 +106.3% +86.7% 49% 49% +79.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover131.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +86.7% 49% +79.5%
10% ← realistic here +68.8% 49% +62.3%
15% +52.5% 49% +46.6%
20% +37.5% 49% +32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +98% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +106% · $-wt +98% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +83% → late +130% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$57 vs −$17 · ×3.42 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×3.28 per $1 lost it wins $3.28
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,775
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses45 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)92 / 92
History coverage5d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day131.1
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 92 Trades
no open positions (47 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 19 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$77 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $21 +$59 +274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 +$55 +1011%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$74 +1233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$92 +1150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $20 +$40 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$71 +751%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$45 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$77 +327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$46 +335%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$3 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$68 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$68 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$55 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$35 +654%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$67 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$87 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $27 +$53 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$13 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$76 +325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$80 +405%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 678 history records