trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -78.0% | -80.1% | 0% | 0% | -92.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -57.3% | -61.4% | 0% | 0% | -77.5% |
| all | 27 | +10.4% | -0.1% | 15% | 11% | -35.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.1% | 11% | -35.8% |
| 10% | -9.7% | 7% | -42.0% |
| 15% | -18.4% | 7% | -47.6% |
| 20% | -26.4% | 7% | -52.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $500 | $497 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $200 | $182 | −$18 (-9%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91¢ | 94¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 30 | $100 | −$12 | -12% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | May 30 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $713 | −$700 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $500 | −$488 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $1,000 | −$981 | -98% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 25 | $250 | −$201 | -80% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Mar 25 | $650 | −$567 | -87% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Mar 25 | $1,500 | −$1,106 | -74% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22? | Mar 22 | $1,000 | −$345 | -34% |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 20 | $100 | −$12 | -12% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 20 | $50 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 20 | $50 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 20 | $110 | −$10 | -9% |
| Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Mar 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | Mar 20 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | Mar 20 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17? | Mar 19 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 17 | $1,000 | +$1,121 | +112% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28? | Jan 28 | $216 | −$49 | -23% |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28? | Jan 28 | $24 | −$15 | -62% |
| Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Jan 24 | $3,443 | +$596 | +17% |
| Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jan 23 | $1,049 | −$589 | -56% |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025? | Jan 17 | $8 | +$109 | +1349% |
| Will Albert Korir win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon? | Jan 17 | $177 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be an on-stage brawl during the official weigh-in? | Oct 30 | $20 | −$5 | -25% |