Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:49:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa487…9439
sports · 142 markets active 1h ago
7.0score
+$6,665 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,020 · open −$1,354
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,941
Realized+$8,020
Unrealized−$1,354
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses66 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$778
Open positions11
Markets (closed)131 / 142
History coverage13d
Avg bet$392
Trades / day23.6
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 11 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,875
7 days+$932
14 days+$8,020
30 days+$8,020
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 53¢ 50¢ $1,400 $1,335 −$65 (-5%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 51¢ 50¢ $1,099 $1,087 −$11 (-1%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) G2 Esports 55¢ 56¢ $848 $858 +$10 (+1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 69¢ 98¢ $438 $619 +$181 (+41%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 67¢ 71¢ $424 $447 +$23 (+5%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 46¢ 44¢ $212 $205 −$7 (-3%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 53¢ 52¢ $168 $167 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group B Oxuji Esports 67¢ 66¢ $114 $113 −$1 (-0%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 8¢ 8¢ $102 $108 +$6 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $1,268 $1 −$1,267 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 62¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 17¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Dplus 78¢ 0¢ $420 $0 −$420 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 57¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner WLGaming Esports 15¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs F5 Esports 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs ZOTIX 40¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs AM Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 35¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 37¢ 0¢ $319 $0 −$319 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $463 $0 −$463 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 46¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Ghost Gaming GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs Ghost Gaming GC 28¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Dragon Ranger Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner WLGaming Esports 15¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $875 +$380 +43%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $636 +$887 +139%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $583 +$304 +52%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $76 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $166 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $78 −$76 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $110 +$147 +134%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $673 +$382 +57%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 11 $18 −$18 -97%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $359 +$594 +165%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $750 +$445 +59%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $325 −$319 -98%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $140 −$137 -98%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $223 −$219 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $690 −$39 -6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $893 −$50 -6%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 11 $433 −$433 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 11 $637 −$637 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoff Jun 11 $568 −$568 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $572 −$572 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $395 −$395 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 11 $566 −$566 -100%
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $493 −$493 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 11 $308 −$308 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 11 $1,893 −$1,893 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 11 $2,843 −$2,843 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $568 −$562 -99%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $121 +$48 +40%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $593 +$230 +39%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $71 +$140 +197%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $197 +$313 +158%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $274 +$229 +83%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $458 +$111 +24%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 10 $58 +$50 +86%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $66 −$65 -98%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $66 −$65 -98%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $71 −$70 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $219 +$1,302 +596%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $119 −$23 -20%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,151 −$145 -13%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $99 +$86 +87%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $209 −$206 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $470 −$463 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $766 +$631 +82%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $553 +$209 +38%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $435 +$208 +48%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $731 +$290 +40%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $61 −$60 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $244 −$240 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$6,602
other 0% +$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $108 1h
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) BUY G2 Esports 54¢ $108 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $71 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $72 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $73 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $335 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $342 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $391 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 69¢ $442 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 67¢ $428 1h
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea BUY Oxuji Esports 71¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea BUY Oxuji Esports 67¢ $112 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 62¢ $225 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $1,255 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $1,523 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $320 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $320 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $320 4h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $143 4h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $141 4h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie SELL Virtus.pro 100¢ $887 4h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $129 6h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $139 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $319 12h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $83 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $430 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $445 12h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $76 12h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $76 12h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $166 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +6.6% -3.5% 48% 48% -7.0%
≤30d 131 +9.8% -0.7% 50% 50% +5.3%
≤90d 131 +9.8% -0.7% 50% 50% +5.3%
all 131 +9.8% -0.7% 50% 50% +5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 50% +5.3%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 48% -4.8%
15% -18.9% 47% -14.0%
20% -26.8% 37% -22.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,940.88 · official $4,940.88 (match) · 405 history records