Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:08:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A4 0xa4b6…5f25 crypto 407 markets active 2h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$54 (+0%) realized +$54 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate94%383W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$51per market
Trades / day54.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$118
7 days+$369
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 +3.3% -6.6% 97% 4% -5.7%
≤30d 407 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 6% -9.6%
≤90d 407 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 6% -9.6%
all 407 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 6% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 6% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.5% 0% -26.1%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$54 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses383 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)407 / 407
History coverage10d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day54.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 407 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $71 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $143 +$12 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $151 +$16 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $146 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $67 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $65 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $63 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $162 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $43 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $46 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $56 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $32 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $47 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $45 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $138 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $96 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $137 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $66 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $47 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $36 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $39 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $60 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $37 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $80 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $80 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $74 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $81 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $48 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $84 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $75 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $46 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $146 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $67 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $65 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $63 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $162 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $43 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $46 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $56 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $47 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $45 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $138 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $23 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $45 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 977 history records