Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A4
0xa4b9…2bf4
crypto · 973 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$163 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$163 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized−$163
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses792 / 181
Open positions0
Markets (closed)973 / 973
Avg bet$11
Trades / day37.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 973 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days−$38
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -59%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +85%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$163
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 469 -2.3% -11.6% 84% 16% -10.4%
≤30d 476 -2.0% -11.3% 84% 17% -10.1%
≤90d 973 -2.0% -11.4% 81% 30% -10.9%
all 973 -2.0% -11.4% 81% 30% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 30% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 7% -19.4%
15% -27.6% 4% -27.2%
20% -34.7% 3% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.79 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records