Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:59:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa504…c842
other · 137 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$165 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$99 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$267
Realized+$99
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses65 / 68
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions4
Markets (closed)133 / 137
History coverage588d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit35%
Chart Positions 4 History 133 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$153
7 days+$160
14 days+$507
30 days+$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Over 65¢ 64¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 50¢ 50¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals Yes 61¢ 60¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $333 $0 −$333 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score No 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $593 $0 −$593 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 +$28 +55%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$49 +97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 +$76 +250%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$84 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$22 +44%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $412 +$347 +84%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $339 −$333 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $603 −$593 -98%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? May 06 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $20 +$15 +73%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $51 +$73 +143%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? May 03 $10 +$30 +291%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $102 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? Apr 28 $31 −$30 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $112 −$110 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Apr 28 $21 −$20 -96%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? Apr 28 $55 +$52 +95%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02? Apr 27 $10 $0 -4%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27? Apr 27 $30 −$30 -98%
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25? Apr 27 $10 +$13 +134%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25? Apr 27 $15 +$9 +62%
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score Apr 27 $15 +$15 +97%
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-26? Apr 27 $15 +$23 +152%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26? Apr 27 $20 +$27 +134%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? Apr 27 $30 +$20 +67%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 27 $40 +$32 +79%
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? Apr 26 $8 −$7 -98%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26? Apr 26 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21? Apr 22 $20 +$17 +86%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21? Apr 22 $20 +$24 +119%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21? Apr 22 $20 +$29 +146%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? Apr 21 $20 −$20 -98%
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score Apr 21 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $10 +$14 +140%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 19 $20 +$47 +238%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $25 +$18 +70%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $50 +$43 +86%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $20 +$28 +140%
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $30 −$30 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% −$1,501
crypto 25% +$244
sports 12% +$526
politics 9% +$820
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 50¢ $102 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $51 1h
Kai Havertz: 1+ goals BUY Yes 61¢ $51 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $51 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $20 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $51 14h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $31 41h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $51 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $51 2d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 52¢ $250 14d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 56¢ $162 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 39¢ $339 14d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 30¢ $299 38d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 43¢ $102 38d
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 38d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? BUY Yes 61¢ $202 38d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 40¢ $41 41d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 57¢ $20 42d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 42d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 42d
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 42d
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 42d
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 58¢ $20 42d
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 42d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 45d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 45d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Bayern München? BUY Yes 13¢ $31 46d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +58.6% +43.5% 71% 71% +33.8%
≤30d 9 +43.8% +30.1% 67% 67% +5.0%
≤90d 101 -17.2% -25.1% 39% 39% -40.5%
all 133 +4.8% -5.2% 49% 49% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.2% 49% -8.6%
10% -14.3% 49% -17.4%
15% -22.6% 49% -25.4%
20% -30.2% 47% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $266.63 · official $266.63 (match) · 257 history records