trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 22 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 59% | 14% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.5% | 14% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -22.7% | 5% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -30.2% | 5% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -37.0% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 21 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $32 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 15 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jun 15 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $51 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $19 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $32 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? | Jun 08 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | Mar 22 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Oral Roberts vs. UMKC | Mar 07 | $3 | +$1 | +49% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 5? | Mar 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28? | Mar 05 | $11 | +$2 | +16% |
| Portland vs. St. Mary's | Feb 20 | $9 | +$2 | +16% |