Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:42:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa518…857f
crypto · 1657 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$175 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$175 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1242 / 415
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1657 / 1657
History coverage62d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$11
14 days−$44
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $13 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 498 -1.0% -10.4% 76% 70% -9.9%
≤30d 1372 -1.5% -10.9% 80% 54% -10.8%
≤90d 1657 -2.7% -12.0% 75% 52% -11.3%
all 1657 -2.7% -12.0% 75% 52% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 52% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 30% -19.8%
15% -28.1% 14% -27.6%
20% -35.1% 7% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3130 history records