Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa525…53c0
sports · 82 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$187 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$181 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$181
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses36 / 43
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions3
Markets (closed)79 / 82
History coverage14d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day27.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$35
14 days−$181
30 days−$181
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Misa Esports 70¢ 100¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+43%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$8 +42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$6 -31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$18 +96%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $52 −$12 -23%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$4 -36%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$10 +52%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $20 +$12 +62%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$7 +325%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $16 +$3 +18%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $16 +$7 +42%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $18 +$1 +7%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$1 +60%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $17 +$5 +31%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $24 −$20 -84%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $4 +$1 +34%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $10 −$3 -26%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 08 $10 +$4 +41%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$13 +66%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $62 −$5 -8%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$6 +114%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$6 +109%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$8 +51%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $26 −$5 -18%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $13 +$9 +73%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4 +$2 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $10 +$9 +92%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$3 +50%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $19 +$16 +83%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$14 +68%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$192
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 40¢ $2 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $2 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 39¢ $2 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 76¢ $2 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $2 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 38¢ $2 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 99¢ $10 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 69¢ $7 2h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 72¢ $2 2h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 85¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 70¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 59¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 60¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $2 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -7.4% -16.3% 49% 47% -14.5%
≤30d 79 -16.8% -24.7% 46% 44% -25.2%
≤90d 79 -16.8% -24.7% 46% 44% -25.2%
all 79 -16.8% -24.7% 46% 44% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.7% 44% -25.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.9% 42% -32.3%
15% -38.5% 38% -38.9%
20% -44.6% 29% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.89 · official $8.89 (match) · 465 history records