Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:54:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa525…c24d
crypto · 1388 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$112 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$112 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses976 / 412
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1388 / 1388
Avg bet$1
Trades / day25.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1388 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$5
14 days−$11
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 9? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$79
sports 9% −$13
other 4% −$18
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 18¢ $0 31h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 81¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -8.6% -17.3% 81% 17% -17.0%
≤30d 468 -4.8% -13.9% 86% 14% -13.6%
≤90d 1330 -6.7% -15.6% 72% 28% -15.3%
all 1388 -6.9% -15.8% 70% 28% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 28% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 18% -23.9%
15% -31.2% 12% -31.2%
20% -38.0% 8% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3116 history records