trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 18% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 26? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $44 | $44 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24? | Jun 24 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $875 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $2,697 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $878 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 12 | $878 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $880 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $879 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $1,779 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 31 | $883 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,672 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 26 | $884 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $890 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $890 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $892 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $1,804 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $893 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $1,808 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $893 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $899 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $897 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $902 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 26 | $912 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $913 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $914 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $915 | −$1 | -0% |