Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:29:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa540…0b43
other · 281 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$22,849 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13,021 · open −$4,470
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$19,594
Realized+$13,021
Unrealized−$4,470
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses89 / 70
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions300
Markets (closed)159 / 281
Avg bet$518
Trades / day967.1
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 300 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$574
7 days+$13,021
14 days+$13,021
30 days+$13,021
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? No 94¢ 92¢ $1,237 $1,208 −$28 (-2%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? No 91¢ 97¢ $1,043 $1,112 +$69 (+7%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 91¢ 81¢ $1,151 $1,034 −$116 (-10%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 75¢ 78¢ $922 $964 +$42 (+5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 82¢ 54¢ $1,057 $693 −$364 (-34%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $613 $609 −$5 (-1%)
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June? Yes 21¢ 36¢ $314 $536 +$221 (+70%)
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 12? Down 61¢ 50¢ $443 $369 −$75 (-17%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? No 67¢ 83¢ $246 $306 +$60 (+24%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? Yes 74¢ 38¢ $593 $300 −$293 (-49%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Yes 21¢ 41¢ $146 $292 +$145 (+99%)
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 12? Down 66¢ 74¢ $250 $279 +$29 (+12%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? Yes 13¢ 17¢ $219 $270 +$51 (+23%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in June? No 88¢ 92¢ $250 $261 +$12 (+5%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 72¢ 98¢ $172 $236 +$64 (+37%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in June? No 91¢ 98¢ $216 $234 +$18 (+8%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Yes 35¢ 20¢ $387 $213 −$174 (-45%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Yes 23¢ 6¢ $735 $207 −$529 (-72%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 60¢ 62¢ $196 $204 +$8 (+4%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $144 $198 +$54 (+37%)
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 in June? No 91¢ 99¢ $182 $198 +$16 (+9%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June? No 90¢ 99¢ $152 $169 +$16 (+11%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June? No 91¢ 87¢ $174 $167 −$7 (-4%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? Yes 60¢ 48¢ $196 $160 −$37 (-19%)
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 68¢ 57¢ $187 $157 −$30 (-16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $196 +$199 +102%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $10 +$1,217 +12167%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,840 +$599 +32%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 12 $507 +$11 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 11? Jun 12 $846 +$189 +22%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? Jun 12 $814 +$161 +20%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,462 +$299 +20%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 11? Jun 12 $37 −$6 -16%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 11? Jun 12 $870 +$105 +12%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 11? Jun 12 $726 −$10 -1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,712 −$692 -40%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,490 −$125 -8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 12 $4,748 +$601 +13%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 12 $3,157 −$1,514 -48%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1,411 +$337 +24%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 11? Jun 11 $912 +$438 +48%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $817 −$76 -9%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in June? Jun 11 $33 +$120 +363%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $235 +$8 +3%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in June? Jun 11 $129 +$22 +17%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $165 −$25 -15%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $68 −$68 -100%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $218 −$68 -31%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $237 −$87 -37%
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $296 −$56 -19%
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $382 −$75 -20%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $148 −$129 -87%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $146 −$94 -65%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $74 −$74 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $922 −$322 -35%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? Jun 11 $207 −$106 -51%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 11? Jun 11 $368 −$368 -100%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $554 +$83 +15%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,490 −$271 -18%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? Jun 11 $519 −$40 -8%
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $363 +$37 +10%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $458 +$122 +27%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 11? Jun 11 $530 −$30 -6%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 11? Jun 11 $53 −$28 -52%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $207 +$93 +45%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June? Jun 11 $21 +$244 +1164%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 in June? Jun 11 $64 +$286 +447%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $144 in June? Jun 11 $137 +$63 +46%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? Jun 11 $13 +$487 +3746%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 58% +$6,082
other 38% +$2,514
tech 3% +$476
sports 1% −$521
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 9m
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June? BUY No 90¢ $42 14m
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 71¢ $110 26m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June? BUY Yes 56¢ $56 33m
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June? BUY Yes 59¢ $9 34m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 60¢ $193 35m
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $20 35m
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 35m
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 37m
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 38m
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $44 38m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $17 41m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $2 41m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $17 41m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $17 42m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 84¢ $420 52m
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 53m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 55m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $0 55m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $0 55m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $13 55m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $5 55m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 55m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $2 56m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 56m
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? BUY Yes 6¢ $11 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 60¢ $0 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 60¢ $0 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 60¢ $0 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 60¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+113.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 +135.7% +113.3% 56% 43% -1.1%
≤30d 159 +135.7% +113.3% 56% 43% -1.1%
≤90d 159 +135.7% +113.3% 56% 43% -1.1%
all 159 +135.7% +113.3% 56% 43% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover967.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +113.3% 43% -1.1%
10% +92.9% 35% -10.6%
15% ← realistic here +74.2% 31% -19.2%
20% +57.2% 26% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19,593.83 · official $19,595.03 (match) · 3500 history records