Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:24:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa546…4dce
crypto · 222 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$37 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized+$16
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses100 / 117
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)217 / 222
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day156.9
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 217 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days+$16
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +228%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +398%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$7 +625%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$6 +529%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +398%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$35
sports 12% +$50
other 11% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 45m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 48m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 +9.7% -0.7% 46% 45% -6.5%
≤30d 217 +9.7% -0.7% 46% 45% -6.5%
≤90d 217 +9.7% -0.7% 46% 45% -6.5%
all 217 +9.7% -0.7% 46% 45% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 45% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 40% -15.4%
15% -18.9% 32% -23.6%
20% -26.8% 25% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.41 · official $14.41 (match) · 573 history records