Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:23:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa54d…deb8
sports · 859 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12,914 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,913 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$284
Realized−$12,913
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses480 / 377
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$2,540
Open positions2
Markets (closed)857 / 859
History coverage94d
Avg bet$249
Trades / day23.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 857 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,339
7 days−$10,109
14 days−$8,151
30 days−$9,842
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 55¢ 72¢ $122 $159 +$38 (+31%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 78¢ 60¢ $163 $124 −$39 (-24%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $209 +$181 +87%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $105 +$101 +97%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Jun 12 $229 +$49 +21%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $274 −$270 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $545 +$383 +70%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $402 −$402 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $182 +$67 +37%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5 Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 20.5 Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi Jun 12 $185 −$185 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $177 −$177 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5 Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 12 $199 −$199 -100%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $291 −$141 -48%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $394 −$230 -58%
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $212 −$212 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 12 $256 −$256 -100%
Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $186 −$186 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $470 −$263 -56%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $435 −$316 -73%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $401 −$401 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $297 −$297 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $411 −$411 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $276 −$276 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $298 −$298 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $404 −$404 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $331 −$331 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $405 −$405 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $406 −$406 -100%
Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) Jun 12 $390 −$390 -100%
Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $412 −$412 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $390 −$390 -100%
Brazil vs. Panama: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $462 −$462 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $406 −$406 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$13,352
other 1% +$438
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 78¢ $164 45m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 55¢ $5 52m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 55¢ $1 53m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 55¢ $118 54m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 53¢ $209 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $105 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 51¢ $274 3h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 82¢ $140 4h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 82¢ $90 4h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $545 7h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 2¢ $1 8h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $201 8h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 80¢ $201 8h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 73¢ $182 10h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 79¢ $144 10h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans SELL Kimmer Coppejans 20¢ $45 10h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 72¢ $169 10h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 65¢ $177 12h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 95¢ $167 12h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 74¢ $126 13h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 71¢ $161 14h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 81¢ $12 18h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 80¢ $201 18h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria BUY Rwanda 77¢ $20 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 80¢ $244 22h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $200 30h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $50 31h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $8 31h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $25 31h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $25 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -21.2% -28.7% 49% 43% -42.5%
≤30d 346 -7.0% -15.9% 55% 52% -18.8%
≤90d 829 -4.8% -13.8% 55% 52% -15.5%
all 857 -4.1% -13.2% 56% 52% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 52% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 46% -23.1%
15% -29.1% 37% -30.6%
20% -36.0% 28% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $283.73 · official $283.73 (match) · 2940 history records