Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T18:27:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A5 0xa555…d816 crypto 946 markets active 0h ago coverage 148d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$5,610 (-2%) realized −$5,610 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate86%813W / 133L
Whale WR93%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$356per market
Trades / day17.6pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$114
7 days−$114
14 days−$114
30 days−$114
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$6,888
sports 6% +$355
other 3% +$357
world 1% +$9
tech 0% +$406
culture 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -11.5% -19.9% 77% 7% -10.8%
≤30d 43 -11.5% -19.9% 77% 7% -10.8%
≤90d 190 -3.0% -12.3% 88% 6% -10.1%
all 946 -2.8% -12.0% 86% 11% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 11% -11.1%
10% -20.5% 5% -19.6%
15% -28.1% 3% -27.4%
20% -35.2% 2% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 93% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$125 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

148d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,610
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses813 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)946 / 946
History coverage148d
Avg bet$356
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 946 Trades
no open positions (30 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 28 $505 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 28 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 28 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 28 $475 +$15 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 28 $470 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 28 $467 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 28 $465 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 28 $456 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 28 $453 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $451 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 28 $446 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 28 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $438 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 28 $434 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 28 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 28 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 28 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 27 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 27 $33 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 27 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 27 $8 +$23 +303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 27 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $170 −$170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 27 $163 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 27 $168 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 27 $160 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 27 $159 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 27 $144 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $148 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 27 $134 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 27 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 27 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 24 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 24 $38 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 24 $38 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 24 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET May 24 $33 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 24 $39 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $495 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $481 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $499 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $475 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $337 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $315 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $39 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3307 history records