Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:51:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa558…aa26
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses30 / 34
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)64 / 67
History coverage42d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$6
14 days+$2
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 50¢ 60¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+91%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$2 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$3 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 04 $8 +$8 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 04 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 01 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 01 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$2
world 6% $0
sports 3% +$1
economics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +14.0% +3.2% 50% 50% +13.0%
≤30d 63 -0.4% -9.9% 46% 44% -9.2%
≤90d 64 +1.0% -8.6% 47% 45% -8.5%
all 64 +1.0% -8.6% 47% 45% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.6% 45% -8.5%
10% -17.4% 44% -17.2%
15% -25.3% 44% -25.2%
20% -32.7% 42% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.32 · official $5.32 (match) · 147 history records