Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T13:29:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A5 0xa56d…3053 crypto 1435 markets active 1h ago coverage 59d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,584 (-8%) realized −$2,554 · open −$30
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate73%1051W / 383L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day42.2pace
Fees−$168est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days−$396
14 days−$334
30 days−$628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 65% −$1,016
crypto 33% −$280
other 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +7.3% -2.9% 80% 61% -14.6%
≤30d 457 -0.9% -10.3% 74% 55% -13.8%
≤90d 1434 -2.5% -11.8% 73% 52% -13.1%
all 1434 -2.5% -11.8% 73% 52% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 52% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 27% -21.4%
15% -27.9% 13% -29.0%
20% -35.0% 7% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -4% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$16 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,554
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1051 / 383
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$168
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1434 / 1435
History coverage59d ⚠
Avg bet$23
Trades / day42.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1434 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Figueira Da Foz: Martyna Kubka vs Yeon-Woo Ku Martyna Kubka 72¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 108 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $81 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$6 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $42 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $22 +$12 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 19 $12 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 19 $7 +$3 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $2 +$2 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $55 −$55 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 19 $42 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $35 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $121 −$120 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$20 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 19 $72 +$31 +44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $41 +$10 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $90 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $71 +$16 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $51 −$51 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 18 $161 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $121 +$21 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $145 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $91 +$13 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $71 +$9 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $61 +$14 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 18 $61 +$10 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $91 +$8 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$8 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$2 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $69 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $60 +$9 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $55 +$4 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $46 +$10 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 1h
Figueira Da Foz: Martyna Kubka vs Yeon-Woo Ku BUY Martyna Kubka 72¢ $30 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $90 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $22 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $55 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $42 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $43 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $35 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $61 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $61 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.62 (match) · 3500 history records