trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 38% | 38% | -3.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 42% | 42% | +24.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 57% | 48% | +18.5% |
| all | 21 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 57% | 48% | +18.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.5% | 48% | +18.5% |
| 10% | -15.5% | 48% | +7.1% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 43% | -3.2% |
| 20% | -31.1% | 33% | -12.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 54¢ | 62¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 (+16%) |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 53¢ | 44¢ | $3 | $2 | −$1 (-18%) |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 36¢ | 8¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-76%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $12 | +$7 | +56% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $15 | +$16 | +105% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$3 | +262% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 06 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 06 | $14 | +$10 | +70% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 06 | $10 | +$17 | +169% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Apr 26 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Apr 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Apr 17 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | +$1 | +116% |
| Predators vs. Kings | Apr 07 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | +$1 | +74% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +38% |