Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T23:30:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
A5 0xa5b0…b932 crypto 2206 markets active 6h ago coverage 64d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 64d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$109 (+1%) realized +$109 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate51%1069W / 1030L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day37.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$324
7 days−$317
14 days−$317
30 days+$173
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$426
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -88.4% -89.5% 6% 6% -75.7%
≤30d 1059 +7.2% -3.0% 55% 55% -4.1%
≤90d 2099 +1.5% -8.2% 51% 51% -8.6%
all 2099 +1.5% -8.2% 51% 51% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 51% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 51% -17.3%
15% -25.0% 51% -25.3%
20% -32.3% 50% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$109
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses1069 / 1030
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2099 / 2206
History coverage64d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day37.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2099 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $17 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $12 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $6 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $7 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $16 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records