trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 1 | +47.1% | +33.1% | 100% | 100% | +33.1% |
| all | 23 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 74% | 43% | +0.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.8% | 43% | +0.6% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 39% | -9.1% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 30% | -17.8% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 22% | -25.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $51 | $50 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Apr 28 | $76 | +$36 | +47% |
| Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026? | Mar 17 | $66 | +$10 | +15% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21? | Jan 22 | $36 | +$30 | +85% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11? | Jan 21 | $20 | +$9 | +45% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | Jan 21 | $29 | −$22 | -78% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jan 06 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in December? | Jan 01 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in December? | Jan 01 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December? | Jan 01 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | Dec 29 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? | Dec 29 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 28? | Dec 29 | $10 | +$10 | +96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | Dec 26 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? | Dec 26 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 26? | Dec 26 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 23? | Dec 22 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22? | Dec 22 | $7 | +$7 | +100% |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga seaso | Dec 22 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Dec 22 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 21 | $20 | +$14 | +72% |
| EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19? | Dec 21 | $26 | +$7 | +26% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Dec 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06? | Dec 19 | $20 | +$16 | +82% |