Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:53:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A5
0xa5c5…ed42
sports · 6 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)3 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 3 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 71¢ 70¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 50¢ 50¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Germany 33¢ 32¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $20 +$17 +83%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$16
other 17% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 33¢ $10 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 50¢ $20 1h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 71¢ $50 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 54¢ $20 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 25h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-44.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -39.1% -44.9% 33% 33% -16.8%
≤30d 3 -39.1% -44.9% 33% 33% -16.8%
≤90d 3 -39.1% -44.9% 33% 33% -16.8%
all 3 -39.1% -44.9% 33% 33% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -44.9% 33% -16.8%
10% -50.2% 33% -24.8%
15% -55.0% 33% -32.0%
20% -59.4% 33% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.99 · official $78.99 (match) · 7 history records